2008年全球金融危机爆发以来,国内塑料加工业遭受严重打击,五大通用塑料需求在多年增长的基础上,首次出现下降。2009年,随着各项经济刺激政策的实施,中国经济率先恢复,下游开工率提高,对五大塑料通用料的需求增加,库存恢复到正常值,从而加大了对合成树脂的表观需求。2009年,中国五大通用塑料表观消费量大幅增至4626万吨,增幅由2002年-2007年平均增幅的9.4%升至21%。其中,聚乙烯表观消费量约1511万吨,同比增长31%;聚丙烯表观消费量约1252万吨,同比增长21.7%。受国际金融危机影响,2008年下半年五大通用塑料价格一路狂跌,跌幅高达60.6%,跌至2003年中期水平。进入2009年,合成树脂价格虽然出现缓慢回升,但价格仍然偏低,造成中国五大通用塑料产量同比增幅约为8.1%,低于产能增幅。 2010年上半年,中国五大通用塑料市场总体呈震荡下行的走势,其原因是一季度的超量进口和上半年国内福建、天津、盘锦、镇海等大装置的顺利投产,国内供应量集中释放,市场处于买方市场。下半年,国内塑料市场总体呈震荡上行後高位盘整走势,7月中旬起,在金融市场全面向好的带动下,国内塑料市场迅速转暖,前期的贸易和下游工厂积极补仓,市场惜售心理明显,国内塑料市场全面上涨。临近年底,贸易商和下游工厂均谨慎操作,市场追涨和杀跌的动能都不足,总体呈小幅波动态势。
since the outbreak of the global financial crisis in 2008, the domestic plastic processing industry has suffered a severe blow. on the basis of years of growth, the demand for five general plastics has declined for the first time. in 2009, with the implementation of various economic stimulus policies, china's economy took the lead in recovering, the downstream start-up rate increased, the demand for the five major plastics general materials increased, and inventory returned to normal value, thus increasing the apparent demand for synthetic resins. in 2009, china's apparent consumption of five general plastics increased significantly to 46.26 million tons, an increase of 21% from 9.4% in 2002-2007. among them, the apparent consumption of polyethylene is about 15.11 million tons, an increase of 31% over the same period of last year; the apparent consumption of polypropylene is about 12.52 million tons, an increase of 21.7% over the same period of last year. affected by the international financial crisis, the prices of five general plastics fell sharply in the second half of 2008, falling by 60.6%, to the mid-2003 level. in 2009, although the price of synthetic resin has slowly recovered, the price is still on the low side, resulting in an annual increase of about 8.1% in the output of five general plastics in china, which is lower than the increase in production capacity.
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