制造业产能过剩抑制中国工业机器人市场增长全球领先的市场研究公司ihs统计表明，2015年中国工业机器人市场规模达13亿美元，而且将保持20%的年复合增长率，到2020年达33亿美元。2015年，中国的工业机器人销售收入占全球13%，预计这一数字到2020年将达25%。“制造业迫切的复苏有望为工业机器人市场带来数十亿美元的发展机遇，”ihs制造科技部高级经理mark watson表示。“劳动密集型产业越来越倾向于自动化生产，尤其是在劳动力成本迅速攀升的亚太地区。劳动力短缺导致工资上涨，进而减少了很多终端用户的潜在投资收益。”随着产能利用率的提升，终端用户对工厂的技术优化以及价格降低，到2018年，工业机器人的应用率将大大加速。而伴随逐渐增加的劳动力成本、低廉的商品价格，和与其他低制造成本地区之间的激烈竞争，工业机器人的应用将进一步扩大。在十三五规划下，由于获得直接信贷和税收减免，企业能加大机器人投资，从而有利于工业机器人市场的增长。然而，ihs工业机器人情报服务部的最新研究显示，中国短期经济前景不明，很多行业都出现产能过剩的情况，尤以重工业为甚，这将限制工业机器人市场增长。在这种情况下，当地制造商提高生产率的需求不大，因此不太可能投入大量资金安装工业机器人。相反，他们更愿意雇佣临时工人，因为这对他们来说更灵活、资本密集程度更低。但随着中国经济持续向服务型经济转变，劳动力短缺的问题将越来越明显。“制造商对生产灵活性和明确的生产效率的需求，支撑着对工业机器人的投资，”watson说道。“采用机器人后，企业可以轻松地调整生产水平和制造流程，还可以节省人力成本，降低对临时工的依赖。”2015年，外资品牌占据了中国工业机器人销量总额的80%以上。这些企业在中国的机器人市场占据着主导地位，因为他们已经与国内主要的终端用户建立了合作关系，提供高质量的软硬件及支持服务。
“中国工业机器人领导企业在研发上投入大量资金，用于研制拥有协作能力、深度学习能力的产品，提高其人工智能水平以及开发其他新兴技术，从而确保他们在行业竞争中占据有利位置，”watson表示。“因此，中国本地供应商面临激烈的市场份额争夺战。”
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